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1990-01-01
2021-12-31
2025-09-11
723415
NCT07177599
Changhai Hospital
Changhai Hospital
OBSERVATIONAL
Pancreatic Disease Burden in Older Adults (1990-2040)
Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, the investigators analyzed age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for pancreatic cancer and pancreatitis in adults aged ≥70 years across 204 countries and territories, stratified by sex, Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), health system performance, and region. The investigators calculated estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs), applied age-period-cohort modelling, and used Bayesian models to project future burden. Attributable burdens for key risk factors were also estimated.
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These dates track the progress of study record and summary results submissions to ClinicalTrials.gov. Study records and reported results are reviewed by the National Library of Medicine (NLM) to make sure they meet specific quality control standards before being posted on the public website.
| Study Registration Dates | Results Reporting Dates | Study Record Updates |
|---|---|---|
2025-09-10 | N/A | 2025-09-10 |
2025-09-10 | N/A | 2025-09-17 |
2025-09-17 | N/A | 2025-09 |
This section provides details of the study plan, including how the study is designed and what the study is measuring.
Primary Purpose:
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Allocation:
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Interventional Model:
N/A
Masking:
N/A
Arms and Interventions
| Participant Group/Arm | Intervention/Treatment |
|---|---|
| : Pancreatic Cancer | BIOLOGICAL: Natural history
|
| : Pancreatitis | BIOLOGICAL: Natural history
|
| Primary Outcome Measures | Measure Description | Time Frame |
|---|---|---|
| Incidence | The number of new cases of a givencause during a given period in aspecified population. It is xpressed as the number of newcases in a year divided by the mid-year population size. | 1990-2021 |
| Deaths | Deaths occurring in a population during a certain time period. | 1990-2021 |
| Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) | The sum of years lost due to premature death (YLLs) and yearslived with disability (YLDs). DALYs are also defined as years of healthy life lost. | 1990-2021 |
| Secondary Outcome Measures | Measure Description | Time Frame |
|---|
This section provides the contact details for those conducting the study, and information on where this study is being conducted.
Researchers look for people who fit a certain description, called eligibility criteria. Some examples of these criteria are a person’s general health condition or prior treatments.
Ages Eligible for Study:
ALL
Sexes Eligible for Study:
70 Years
Accepts Healthy Volunteers:
This is where you will find people and organizations involved with this study.
The person responsible for entering information about the study voluntarily provides these publications. These may be about anything related to the study.
General Publications
No publications available
